Turkiye finalises anti-dumping duty on Chinese cold-rolled stainless steel at 3.95%

  • Indonesian stainless products exempted from AD duties
  • Chinese-origin imports retain price competitiveness

SteelDaily: Turkiye has concluded its anti-dumping (AD) investigation on cold-rolled stainless steel flat products from China, announcing a final duty of 3.95%, lower than market expectations. The decision was published in the Official Gazette on 27 December under the “Notice on Prevention of Unfair Competition in Imports (No: 2025/44)” and takes effect immediately, remaining valid for five years. The measure covers cold-rolled stainless steel flat products under HS codes 7219 and 7220.

Lower-than-expected duty limits market impact

The final ruling applies a uniform 3.95% duty to all Chinese exporters, despite preliminary findings in mid-December indicating dumping margins ranging from 3.95% to 13.47% for individual companies. Market participants noted that the adoption of the lowest rate significantly reduces the measure’s ability to curb imports, especially given current freight and currency volatility.

Indonesian material exempt; diversion risks remain

Products originating from Indonesia were exempted from duties after Turkish authorities determined that dumping margins for key exporters, including PT ITSS and PT IRNC, were de minimis (below 2%). As a result, Indonesian-origin material will continue to enter Turkiye duty-free. Industry sources expect this to preserve the price competitiveness of imported stainless steel and raise the likelihood of trade diversion via Indonesian production bases.

Domestic producers question effectiveness

The investigation was initiated following a petition filed in late 2023 by domestic producers POSCO Asan TST and Trinox Metal, citing injury from low-priced imports from China and Indonesia. However, with the final duty set at a modest level, local mills have expressed concerns that the ruling offers limited protection. Some market participants view the outcome as a compromise, reflecting the interests of downstream sectors such as home appliances, furniture, and kitchenware, which depend on competitively priced imports.

Market view

Distributors largely expect the AD decision to have a limited near-term impact on trade flows or prices. As one local industry official noted, the 3.95% duty is comparable to routine logistics cost fluctuations, suggesting the measure may remain largely symbolic rather than materially restrictive.

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