US Coking Coal: Prices remain pressurized by weakening global steel fundamentals

US coking coal export prices continue to remain under pressure in the face of low spot demand, largely due to a typical summer period slowdown in Europe, coupled with lingering uncertainties prevailing in China due to port restrictions and subdued steel market demand in India.

The steep decline in FOB pricing for Australian premium hard coking coal in the Asia-Pacific markets has pushed down prices for US high-vol A and Low Vol coking coal.

In particular, the fob price of US high volatile A coking coal weakened relative to Australian low-vol premium HCC, with prices continuing to fall through the first half of the year.

The Atlantic met coal export markets have been hit by weaker steel prices and lower steel mill utilization rates over the first half of 2019.

A seasonal summer holiday period in Europe and North America has also limited/impacted the demand momentum for US coals in the absence of many large traders and end-user buyers from the trade market.

Indian demand scenario has turned lackluster lately and any considerable improvement in import volumes is expected only post monsoon in the month of September.

PRICE ASSESSMENTS

The latest FOB US East Coast price of low-vol hard coking coal is assessed at USD 149.00/MT, based on 58% coke strength after reaction (CSR), 8% ash, 0.8% sulfur and 19% volatile matter material.

For Indian buyers, the above price amounts to USD 184.50/MT on CNF India basis, after considering a USEC-India dry bulk freight rate of USD 35.50/MT for delivery by Panamax vessel class.

The US high-volatile type A (HVA) coking coal price is assessed at around USD 152.50/MT FOB USEC, based on 7% ash, 0.85% sulfur and 32% volatile matter.

The US high-volatile type B (HVB) coking coal price is assessed at around USD 139.50/MT FOB USEC, based on 8% ash, 0.95% sulfur and 34% volatile matter.


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