Turkiye’s AD duties to dent Chinese cold-rolled stainless steel exports

  • Chinese CR stainless exports to Turkiye weaken
  • Import reliance keeps alternative sourcing channels open

SteelDaily: Chinese cold-rolled stainless steel (CRS) exports to Turkiye are expected to face increased pressure after the Turkish government imposed final anti-dumping (AD) duties on imports from China. On 27 December, Turkiye’s Ministry of Trade announced a uniform AD duty of 3.95% on Chinese-origin cold-rolled stainless steel flat products, effective immediately and valid for five years. This comes in addition to the existing 12% import tariff, taking the cumulative duty burden to nearly 16%, significantly eroding the price competitiveness of Chinese material.

Turkiye is a key destination for Chinese CRS exports. In 2024, China exported around 2.84 million tonnes of cold-rolled stainless steel, accounting for nearly 57% of its total stainless steel exports. Of this, shipments to Turkiye stood at about 263,200 tonnes, up sharply by nearly 64% y-o-y and representing close to 10% of China’s total CRS exports. However, export momentum slowed in 2025 following the initiation of the AD probe, with Jan–Nov shipments to Turkiye declining 28% y-o-y to around 183,000 tonnes and market share slipping to about 8%.

Turkiye remains heavily reliant on imports due to the absence of fully integrated stainless steel mills. The country primarily imports slabs and hot-rolled coils, which are further processed into cold-rolled products, pipes, and flat products domestically. With annual stainless steel demand estimated at around 700,000 tonnes, local production alone is insufficient, necessitating sustained import dependence.

Market participants expect the additional AD duty to weaken Chinese suppliers foothold in Turkiye, though imports are unlikely to halt entirely given structural supply gaps. While the measure offers some protection to domestic processors, alternative origins may gain traction as buyers reassess sourcing strategies amid higher landed costs for Chinese CRS.

Note: This article has been published in accordance with a content exchange agreement between SteelDaily and BigMint.