Spot iron ore prices may rebound in coming weeks- Analysts

Spot Iron ore prices have fell down by 30 percent this
month, its biggest fall since August 2009 as thin demand from top buyer China
forced traders to sell at a loss.

Highlights of the
week:

* Offers for Fe
63.5/63 of Indian fines dropped sharply to reach as low as $ 130/MT (CNF), i.e.
down by $ 20/Mt from the last week.

* There were a lot of distressed cargoes in the spot market,
or shipments that traders needed to sell because they didn't have enough funds
to hold them and wait for prices to recover.

* Inventories of imported iron ore at major Chinese ports ended
this week at 92.74 million tonnes i.e. up by 520,000 tonnes from the end of
last week.

A sharp drop across iron ore price also prompted a choppy trading on the OTC iron ore market. Forward swaps prices for October contract fell to reach $151/153/MT.

“The situation is still very bad. There are some mills
which are starting to buy but they're only willing to pay a very low price,
even lower than the current spot market rate,” said a physical iron ore
trader in Shanghai.

However, according to analysts, “prices have neared a “floor” and there are chances for a rebound to as much as $30 a metric ton to near $150
a ton in coming weeks. The scale & speed of this week's correction has
little to do with trade fundamentals. The reported collapse in trade liquidity
instead suggests a 'buyer's strike', with consumers deferring purchases until
prices stabilize.”


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