India: Reasons indicates Steel Prices sustain in short term- Trade Sources

SteelMint learned that there are 4 major reasons that indicates market will stabilize or increase from this intensity; no hope for major correction

1) High Prices of Raw Material
a) Restricted supply of Iron ore from Odisha, mainly due to 50:50 rule results in rise of Sponge iron prices
b) Rising Scrap prices in domestic market owing to low imports and increased Sponge iron prices

2) Seasonal Demand: However, manufacturers claim that Finish Steel demand is still subdued and will take some time to pick up. Although, with escalation in prices of raw material it seems steel prices should sustain in short term.

3) Primary Producers raise Steel prices: Primary Producers (SAIL& JSW) is likely to raise their steel prices for February, 2014 by INR 500-1,000/MT. That will also support to other manufacturers.

4) New VAT implementation in Punjab: Steel prices have shot up to INR 1,000/MT in Mandi Gobindgarh in last few days, which is considered to be the benchmark for secondary steel players. Sources said that the government had introduced new VAT structure for steel manufacturers in the month of January 2014, which was applicable from 1 Feb, 2014. This has resulted in fresh buying as VAT has been reduced from 4.5% to 2.5%.

 

Prices in INR/MT as on 03 Feb, 2014

Place

TMT 12 mm

W-o-W

Ingot

W-o-W

Sponge

W-o-W

Mandi Gobindgarh

                   37,500

                     800

                    33,700

                    800

             23,200

                    500

Rourkela

                   33,250

                     250

                    29,650

                    850

             19,200

                    450

Durgapur

                   33,700

 –

                    30,650

                    250

             20,500

                    100

Raipur*

                   34,100

                     500

                    30,400

                    700

             21,200

                    700

Raigarh

                   33,400

 –

                    30,100

                    600

             20,000

                    350

Mumbai*

                   35,800

                     100

                    32,300

                    100

 –

 –

Hyderabad

                   35,500

                     500

                    31,800

                    300

 –

 –

Basic Prices
Excise duty @12.36%; VAT as applicable
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