China: Is There Any Room For Further Correction In The HC Ferro Chrome Prices?

The price of HC Ferro Chrome is lowered by 100 Yuan / 50 base tons by one of the major producers, Bao Steel in China. Currently, the price offered in the mainstream market is 6000/ 50 base tons. The Chrome alloy market lacked momentum, as the Ferro Chrome producers started aggressive competition for selling the material and they started to rush for shipping. Moreover, the prices of Stainless Steel are continuously refreshing and going downstream as the supply and demand both remain weak; this naturally makes the Ferro Chrome market difficult to improve. Under the influence of downstream market and the price drop atmosphere, the sales are quite difficult to achieve. However, reduction in the tender prices has not affected the market in any significant manner as the strong bearish sentiment remains prevalent and the inquiries and the physical transactions all remain deserted.

Operating Rate and Production Statistics of HC Ferro Chrome Plants
Region Operating Rate M-o-M (%) Production Capacity M-o-M (%) Expected Output M-o-M (%)
Guizhou 50 12.5 46.63 11.09 3.87 0.95
Gansu 58.33 -8.34 28.47 -2.94 2.52 -0.26
Guangxi 72.73 62.36 -6.18 3.33 -0.21
Qinghai 58.33 -8.34 28.47 -2.94 2.52 -0.26
Xinjiang 58.33 -8.34 28.47 -2.94 2.52 -0.26
others 47.37 -5.26 33.52 -1.95 5.33 -0.31

 

Steel Mill Tender

Steel Mill

Product

Price

Taigang High carbon ferrochrome 6500
Castle Peak High carbon ferrochrome 6396
Baosteel Desheng High carbon ferrochrome 6400
Wine steel High carbon ferrochrome 6350
Lianzhong High carbon ferrochrome 6400
CITIC Pacific High carbon ferrochrome 6750-6850
Yuan Li High carbon ferrochrome 6660
Hegang (Group 2) High carbon ferrochrome 6850
Hegang (set of)   7050
Xiangtan Iron and Steel High carbon ferrochrome 6800
Fujian Sangang High carbon ferrochrome 6830
Ma Steel High carbon ferrochrome 7100
Valin steel pipe early High carbon ferrochrome 6818
Kungang High carbon ferrochrome 6900
Hualing Steel Pipe Mid High carbon ferrochrome 6682

Chrome Ore:
Prices of Chrome ore fell significantly last week by almost USD10/MT since the decline was more pronounced, it affected the price of chrome ore futures in most countries which also continued to fall slightly by USD 5/MT. As the alloy market is soaring down, there is strong weakening trend in the market and therefore, the Chinese industry remains bearish and is cautious about any purchases in recent days. Since previous month, the procurement of Ferro Chrome remained slow and the transactions are gradually weakened. Although, with the prices going down in the last week, many traders and alloy manufacturing units showed interest in purchasing Chrome Ore; however, the fear of Prices going down is overwhelming. Therefore the market situation didn’t improve despite lower prices. Overall, there is a notion in the market that will the falling stainless steel prices, the prices of Chrome ore may also fall further in the coming weeks.

Product

CIF price (USD/dmtu)

RSA Concentrates 40-42% Bulk 130-135
Container 120-125
RSA Concentrates 42-44% Bulk 150-155
Packing 140-145
RSA lumpy 38% 135-140
RSA ROM 40-42% Bulk 150-155
Turkey concentrates 46-48% 210-215
Turkey block mine 38-40%% 185-190
Iran lumpy 40-42% 170-175
Pakistan lumpy 40-42% 185-190
Albania lumpy 40-42% 220-225
Zimbabwe Concentrates 46-48% 195-200
Zimbabwe lumpy 40-42% 170-175
Oman lumpy 34-36% 140-145
Madagascar block mine  38-40% 155-160
Madagascar concentrate 46-48% 185-190

This week the prices of Ferro Chrome continued to be in the downtrend and the market sentiments don’t seem to improve. Due to the confluence of various negative factors, the bearish sentiment grew stronger and the transactional market remained quiet. Therefore, it is expected that the market is bound to be under pressure in the coming weeks.


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