India: Steel Industry Performance H1 CY’17 Vs H1 CY’16

Indian steel industry has performed fairly well in the first half (H1) of 2017, where the crude steel production surged by 5.73% and steel makers were aggressively involved in the exports.

Rising global steel prices due to absence of Chinese cargo boosted the demand for the cargoes originated from Indian. The exports of iron ore, billet, pig iron
and flat steel registered a substantial increase for the same duration.

However, due to implementation of provisional anti dumping duty on the wire rod and the definite anti dumping duty of hot rolled coil (HRC) and cold rolled coil (CRC) the imports declined in first half (H1) of 2017.

Prices in Domestic Market:

With above average demand in the domestic market, the domestic prices went up progressively for iron and steel products. For iron ore the offers went up by whooping 50% on half yearly basis in line with the surge in the sponge offers by 33.13%.

Coking coal and met coke offers also increased substantially in same duration due to increased demand by the Indian Steel Makers.

Domestic long steel prices went up by 15.61% and for flat steel the offers went up by 27.16%.

Production:

Crude steel production increased to 49.83 MnT in Jan-Jun’17 owing to rise in production by the large steel makers.

Import/Exports

Amid rise in global offers, the exports from India registered a sharp hike. Raw material (Iron ore and billet) exports jumped two folds in first half of the CY 2017 (Jan’17-Jun-17) to 19.67 MnT compared to 10.05 MnT for same duration in CY 2016. Pellet exports surged as the inquiries from the Chinese market increased.

Flat steel market registered a significant growth in the export to 5 MnT in CY 2017 (Jan’17-Jun’17) against 1.66 MnT in CY 2016 (Jan’16-Jun’16).

In the 2017 India has been actively exporting the billet and pig iron and the biggies like JSW, Vizag steel are the major names for exporting the billet in the South East Asian Countries due to rising global scrap offers and shortage of the material in the global market.

Coal Imports declined as imports were disturbed for two month i.e. Apr’-May’17 due to Debbie Cyclone in Australia.

Indian Steel Price Scenario:  H1 CY17 Vs H

Commodity Delivery Size/Grade Unit Prices HI FY17 H1 FY16 % Change Remark
Iron Ore NMDC (Chhattisgarh) Lumps, 6-40mm, Fe 65% INR/MT      2,375      1,908 24.45% Excluding Royalty
Iron Ore NMDC (Chhattisgarh) Fines, -10mm, Fe 64% INR/MT      2,135      1,635 30.58% Excluding Royalty
Iron Ore Odisha Fines, Fe 63% INR/MT      1,381      1,329 3.92% Ex-mines,Including
Royalty
Iron Ore Karnataka, Fines Fe 58% INR/MT      2,014      1,339 50.48% Weighted average
bid price, Basic
Pellets Ex- Barbil 6-20mm,63% INR/MT      4,354      3,081 41.33% Basic Prices,
Loaded to Wagons
Scrap Ex-Mumbai HMS 80:20 INR/MT    20,400    16,000 27.50% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Scrap CIF, Mumbai HMS 80:20 (Europe) USD/MT         275         215 27.91%
Met Coke CFR India 62% CSR USD/MT         291         147 97.96%
Pig iron Ex-Durgapur Steel Grade INR/MT    22,250    17,800 25.00% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Sponge Iron(C-DRI) Ex- Raipur FeM 80 (+/-1) INR/MT    16,700    12,750 30.98% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Pellet Sponge Ex- Raipur FeM 80 (+/-1) INR/MT    15,450    11,600 33.19% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Billet Ex- Mumbai 100*100mm INR/MT    27,300    23,600 15.68% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Rebar Ex-Mumbai 12mm INR/MT    31,100    26,900 15.61% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Wire Rod Ex-Raipur 5.5mm INR/MT    30,200    26,900 12.27% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Structure Ex-Mumbai 40 Angle INR/MT    31,400    27,700 13.36% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
HR Coil Ex-Mumbai 2.5mm, IS 2062 INR/MT    41,178    33,198 24.04% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
HR Coil CIF India 2mm, SS 400 (China) USD/MT         493         369 33.60%
HR Plates Ex- Works 5-10mm INR/MT    36,634    28,810 27.16% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
CR Coil Ex-Mumbai 0.9mm INR/MT    46,857    37,749 24.13% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
SiMn Ex- Raipur 60/14 INR/MT    61,300    46,900 30.70% Basic Prices,
Excluding GST at 18%
Import/Export Prices       
Coking Coal CNF India Premimum HCC USD/MT         195           95 105.26% Import prices to India
Pig iron FoB India Steel Grade USD/MT         305         222 37.39% Export from to India to other Countries
Billet FOB India 150*150mm USD/MT         399         311 28.30%

Prices mentioned average prices in H1 CY17 and H1 CY16
Source: SteelMint Research

Import & Exports Statistics of Steel Products in India

Production Country H1 CY 17* H1 CY 16 % Change
Crude Steel India           49.83       47.13 5.73
Export
Iron ore/Pellet India       19.67       10.05 95.70
Pig Iron India         0.39         0.03
Billet/slab/blooms India         1.40         0.76 84.21
Sponge Iron India         0.22         0.13 69.23
Long Steel India              0.37              0.33 13.50
Flat Steel India         5.00         1.66 201.20
Si Mn India         0.38         0.26 44.23
FeCr India         0.45         0.24 90.68
FeMn India         0.08         0.07 17.86
Import
Iron ore/Pellet India         2.11         3.39 -37.67
Coking Coal India       23.80       23.56 1.02
Non Coking Coal India       72.85       86.74 -16.01
Scrap India         2.00         3.36 -40.48
Long Steel India         0.21         0.23 -7.53
Flat Steel India         2.60         3.77 -30.86

Fig in MnT
* Provisional Data
Sources: SteelMint Research, Customs and JPC


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