Mandi price weekly forecast for rice in Chhattisgarh (24 Nov – 30 Nov 2025)

Rice prices in Chhattisgarh continued to ease in the week beginning 24 Nov, as heavy arrivals of new-crop added to an already oversupplied market. In major mandis such as Balrampur, most milled rice varieties traded between ₹3,000 and ₹3,200 per quintal, with the average rate stabilising near ₹3,100 per quintal as of 24 Nov. In Raipur, a key reference centre for the region, unmilled paddy prices hovered between ₹1,900 and ₹2,200 per quintal, depending on grain quality and variety. Market participants reported that the imbalance between sellers and buyers exerted consistent pressure on prices, resulting in a ₹40–₹50 correction from levels recorded in the previous week.

Seasonal arrivals weigh on prices

The ongoing kharif harvest is driving steady arrivals across procurement centres, expanding physical availability and limiting any upward price movement. Most of the rice currently circulating in wholesale markets is from the new crop, which is entering mills at an accelerated pace. Some additional supply is arriving from West Bengal and Odisha, where staggered harvest schedules and varying quality grades are influencing procurement behaviour. Industry watchers note that buyers are adopting a wait-and-watch approach, anticipating further softening before committing to large-volume purchase orders.

Price outlook

Given the prevailing oversupply conditions, rice prices in major Chhattisgarh mandis are expected to remain rangebound between ₹3,000 and ₹3,150 per quintal through the coming week. Only minor fluctuations are likely unless arrivals slow sharply or a sudden procurement push emerges. A marginal pickup in demand may come from the ongoing wedding season and bulk requirements from millers and exporters in eastern India, but the uplift is not expected to be strong enough to reverse the downward trend in the near term.

Trade sentiment and advisory

Market sentiment remains cautious as storage and moisture concerns persist due to cool and humid weather. Traders suggest prioritising the movement of freshly milled and properly dried rice to avoid quality deterioration, which could lead to discounts and delayed sales. With downward pressure expected to continue, both farmers and millers are monitoring government procurement activity and regional buying interest before planning forward sales.