Chinese Steel Sector Quarterly Performance

Chinese steel sector  is abuzz with weak demand sentiments since last 1-year. The country’s government promoted massive investments in steel mills without considering demand scenario. Thus, more than subdued demand, the major area of concern for Chinese steel mills is excess overcapacity, which is hurting their business prospects.

The overcapacity problem has not only gripped China but other steel producing countries also across the globe.

WCU

Source: World Steel Association

The ideal capacity utilization for steel sector is 80%. However from the above graph, it can be inferred that the capacity utilization is 68% for the month of Aug’15, which has also pressurized steel prices.

China’s steel industry performance since Jan’15-Aug’15

Crude steel production: China’s crude steel output fell by 2.34% to 66.94 MnT in Aug’15 against 68.58 MnT in Jan’15.

Export: China’s finish steel exports (include flat steel, bars, rods steel pipes, and other products) increased by 5.74% to 10.30 MnT in Aug’15 compared to 9.74 MnT in Jan’15.

Import: Chinese finish steel imports decreased by 12.06%  1.02 MnT in Aug’15 in contrast to 1.16 MnT in Jan’15.

China’s product-wise Q-o-Q price comparison

We at SteelMint have made price comparison of products in two quarters i.e Apr’15-Jun’15 and Jul’15-Sept’15.

Domestic and export prices of raw material and finish flat products fell during Jul’15-Sep’15 quarter. Amongst all the products, major price correction was registered in both domestic and export HRC offers. In domestic offers, prices declined by 18.20% and export offers by 16.70%.

Commodity Delivery Size/Grade Unit Prices Apr’15-Jun’15 Jul’15-Sep’15  % Change Remarks
Domestic Prices
Iron ore Ex-Tangshan Fe 66% RMB/MT 450 430 -4.4 Prices Excluding tax
Billet Ex-Tangshan Common Carbon Square Billet 165*225 RMB/MT 1,970 1,770 -10.2 Prices Include 17% VAT
Wire Rod Ex-Shanghai 6.5-10 mm RMB/MT 2,314 2,123 -8.3
Rebars Ex-Shanghai HRB 400 RMB/MT 2,278 2,052 -9.9
HRC Ex-Shanghai Q235/SS400 5.5mm*1500 HR coil/plate RMB/MT 2,390 1,955 -18.2
CRC Ex-Shanghai 1.0mm*1250CR Coil/Plate RMB/MT 3,100 2,630 -15.2
Export Prices
Billet China FoB 125*125, BF Grades USD/MT 330 295 -10.6 Prices Include 17% VAT
Wire Rod China FoB 6.5 mm (Mesh quality) USD/MT 353 312 -11.6
Rebars China FoB 16-32 mm USD/MT 345 304 -11.9
HRC China FoB SS 400, Commercial grade 2.5 mm USD/MT 360 300 -16.7
CRC China FoB 0.9 mm Thickness USD/MT 430 370 -14

Source: SteelMint Research


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