South African Non-Coking Coal Demand Stagnates Amid Ongoing Monsoons in India

South African thermal coal prices have gained further traction this week, on the back of global FOB trades getting concluded, despite the current lullness in the Indian market amid the ongoing monsoons.

In the Atlantic Basin, the South African export market was aided support by a spot deal in the physical market, and the financial 6,000 kcal/kg NAR market also traded higher.

The outlook still remains far from bullish in light of subdued buying interest observed in the main export destination of India.

The seasonal monsoon rains is affecting the dispatch of cargoes from ports along the western coast of India. Nevertheless, Indian power plants have sufficient coal stockpiles for about 15 days of consumption needs, according to sources.

Although at present the India-based buyers continue to tread carefully with the utmost caution, they are more inclined towards South African thermal coal as compared to Indonesian coal of similar heating value.

Reportedly, a 40,000 MT cargo of South African RB2 (5,500 NAR) coal was sold at INR 4,750/MT excluding taxes at the Gangavaram Port, located in Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh.

Meanwhile, around 7 Capesize bulk carrier vessels are shortly expected to berth at Gangavaram port, details of which are enumerated below.

Vessel Name Cargo Type Quantity (MT) Month Remarks Date Load Country Load Port Receivers
Cape Trader Non-Coking Coal 159,530 Jul-19 Anchorage 2-Jul-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Adani Power
Pacific Creation Non-Coking Coal 167,453 Jul-19 Anchorage 1-Jul-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) India Coke & Power
Stella Flora Non-Coking Coal 163,140 Jun-19 Anchorage 30-Jun-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Swiss Singapore
Lowlands Brillence Non-Coking Coal 163,241 Jun-19 Anchorage 20-Jun-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Agarwal Coal
Cape Buzzard Non-Coking Coal 160,000 Jun-19 Anchorage 19-Jun-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Rawmet Commodity
Golden Zhoushan Non-Coking Coal 80,000 Jun-19 Anchorage 16-Jun-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Imr Resources
Houston Non-Coking Coal 164,000 Jul-19 Berth 1-Jul-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Swiss Singapore
Berge Nimba Non-Coking Coal 162,520 Jun-19 Berth 28-Jun-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Swiss Singapore
Parker Non-Coking Coal 164,950 Jul-19 Expected 7-Jul-19 South Africa Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) Adani Enterprise

Source: Customs, CoalMint Research

South African Discounts

The discount for 5,500 kcal/kg NAR coal remained relatively unchanged compared with the last week, at around USD 7.50/MT from the financial 6,000 kcal/kg NAR grade.

However, discount for the 4,800 NAR grade has moved up to USD 13/MT.

PRICE ASSESSMENTS

RB1 (6,000 kcal/kg NAR) coal is assessed at around USD 61.29/MT FOB Richards Bay.

RB2 (5,500 kcal/kg NAR) coal is assessed at around USD 53.30/MT FOB Richards Bay.

RB3 (4,800 kcal/kg NAR) coal is assessed at around USD 42.12/MT FOB Richards Bay.

For Indian buyers, the above offers amount to USD 74.29, 66.30 and 55.12/MT respectively, after charging an average freight rate of USD 13/MT for delivery by Panamax vessel class.


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